# Racial/Ethnic Differences in Reproductive Aging and Onset of Cardio-metabolic Risk in the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation: Methodological Challenges in Aging Cohorts

> **NIH NIH F31** · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · 2020 · $38,028

## Abstract

7 PROJECT SUMMARY/ABSTRACT
Racial/ethnic disparities in life expectancy are well documented. These disparities are mainly due to excess
mortality among Blacks from cardio-metabolic conditions such as hypertension, heart disease and diabetes.
Racial/ethnic disparities in aging and health deterioration are posited to stem from “weathering” or early health
deterioration as a consequence of the cumulative impact of repeated experience with social or economic
adversity and political marginalization. Corroborating this theory, studies have observed that the racial/ethnic
differences in mortality become more pronounced in midlife and early old age when the risk for cardio-
metabolic disease increases, particularly for women. It is hypothesized that the increase in risk in midlife
women could be related to the end of hormonal production or reproductive aging, signaled by the timing of the
final menstrual period (FMP). However, it is unclear if the increase in risk is due to reproductive aging or
aging in general. Evidence of racial/ethnic differences in reproductive aging has been mixed. This may
be partially due to selection bias into cohorts of aging, caused by systematically excluding women who
experience early aging (left-truncation) or employing selection criteria that may unintentionally exclude high-
risk groups. Because cohorts are set up to assess the incidence of an outcome, if the potential variability in
average rate of aging is not considered upon recruitment, cohorts could be subject to selection bias.
Furthermore, as Black women have a higher rate of surgical amenorrhea due to higher rates of
hysterectomies/oophorectomies from reproductive complications earlier in life, they are often
systematically excluded from estimates of reproductive aging. The multi-racial/ethnic Study of Women's Health
Across the Nation (SWAN) recruited women at 42-52 years of age and does not include women who had
surgical amenorrhea. SWAN has a wealth of data at each stage of selection for the cohort making it ideal for
developing a statistical approach to handling selection bias due to left-truncation. Therefore, we propose to use
SWAN to develop and demonstrate the impact of selection bias on estimates of racial/ethnic differences in
reproductive aging (Aim 1) and on racial/ethnic differences in timing of cardio-metabolic risk (Aim 2a). We will
also assess whether racial/ethnic differences in cardio-metabolic risk are more pronounced before or after the
FMP (Aim 2b). This work will contribute to research on aging by developing a novel statistical approach to
correct for selection bias in aging cohorts that may miss the window of risk leading to left truncation or that
have exclusion criteria that leads to systematic selection of healthier persons. Correction for such bias is
principally important when estimating average age of disease onset and health disparities in aging. This
research – made possible by the support of this fellowship, the University of Michiga...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10016991
- **Project number:** 5F31AG064856-02
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR
- **Principal Investigator:** Alexis Reeves
- **Activity code:** F31 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2020
- **Award amount:** $38,028
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2019-09-01 → 2021-08-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10016991

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10016991, Racial/Ethnic Differences in Reproductive Aging and Onset of Cardio-metabolic Risk in the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation: Methodological Challenges in Aging Cohorts (5F31AG064856-02). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-27 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10016991. Licensed CC0.

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