# Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk Assessment

> **NIH NIH U19** · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · 2021 · $496,067

## Abstract

Project Summary 
Lung cancer continues to be the most common cancer and reduction of lung cancer related death is 
a global priority. The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) reported that the low-dose computed 
tomography (LDCT) screening reduced the lung cancer mortality by 20%, with a trade-off of more 
than 95% of false positive results. This underlined our need for a much improved risk prediction 
model and higher screening efficiency to balance the benefits and potential harms. Although there 
have been substantial efforts in establishing lung cancer risk prediction models, none have taken all 
aspects into account and the joint performance of all predictors remains unknown. For those with 
CT nodules, currently there is a wide range of clinical protocols on how they are managed, from 
watchful waiting to invasive diagnostic procedures. With the usage of LDCT scans rapidly growing 
following the NLST report, there is an urgent need to address the issues of (i) who should be 
recommended for screening and (ii) what to do when a nodule is found. Our research team is 
in the unique position to conduct this much needed work as we have already established extensive 
resources for the data elements needed being the lead investigators of the three lung cancer 
consortia (International Lung Cancer Consortium, Transdisciplinary Research in Cancer of 
Lung, and Lung Cancer Cohort Consortium), and have established collaborations with the lung 
cancer CT screening programs in the US, Canada and Europe. The overall goal of this project is to 
translate the epidemiological, molecular and clinical data into lung cancer risk assessment and to 
improve nodule assessment. Specifically, we will (i) establish an integrated risk prediction model 
to identify individuals at high risk of lung cancer, combining personal health and exposure history, 
targeted molecular and genomic profile and lung function data based lung cancer CT screening 
populations in US, Canada and Europe based on a total of 950 CT-detected lung cancer patients 
from cohorts of 46,057 screening individuals; and (ii) establish a comprehensive nodule 
assessment models for individuals with LDCT-detected non-calcified pulmonary nodules based on 
both 2 dimensional-based and 3D volume and radiomics-based probability models. We will compare 
the model performance with the existing classification system such as Lung-RADS and conduct net 
benefit and decision curve analysis to assess their clinical usefulness. These models will be very 
valuable for the general public, clinicians, researchers and health administrators. It will increase the 
efficiency of lung cancer LDCT screening, and reduce unnecessary workup (and patient anxiety) for 
those who were found to have LDCT-detected pulmonary non-calcified nodules. The impact of this 
project will be wide-spread in our community.

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10135969
- **Project number:** 5U19CA203654-05
- **Recipient organization:** BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE
- **Principal Investigator:** Rayjean J. Hung
- **Activity code:** U19 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2021
- **Award amount:** $496,067
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2017-08-01 → 2023-03-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10135969

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10135969, Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk Assessment (5U19CA203654-05). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-22 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10135969. Licensed CC0.

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