# Monitoring real-world driver behavior for classification and early prediction of Alzheimer’s disease

> **NIH NIH R01** · UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA MEDICAL CENTER · 2021 · $1,039,678

## Abstract

This research project tackles the NIH/NIA grand challenge of using a person's own vehicle as a passive-detection
system for flagging potential age- and disease-related aberrant driving that may signal early warning
signs of functional decline or incipient Alzheimer's disease (AD). Early identification and treatment are
essential steps to mitigating the growing costs and burden of AD. Our foundational advancements in
quantifying driver behavior from in-vehicle systems ("Black Boxes") and wearable sensors, and strategic
analytic methods and pipelines using statistical and machine learning approaches, are directly relevant to
meeting this NIH/NIA challenge. The proposal builds strategically on current project discoveries and successes
that comprehensively characterized patterns of real-world driving exposure and risk in 136 older drivers across
500,000 miles driven. Under the proposal's conceptual framework, functional abilities determine specific driver
behavior patterns and errors. Behaviors, in tum, index driver functional abilities and clinical features of NIA-Alzheimer's
Association (AA) core clinical criteria of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and AD (operationalized
by Alzheimer's clinical syndrome [ACS]). Sleep and mobility play roles as key mediators of relationships
between driver behavior and functional impairment. Accordingly, our Specific Aims (SA) are: SA1) Extract key
real-world driver behavior features over a continuous, 3-month, baseline period that classify normally aging,
MCI, and ACS drivers by NIA-AA core clinical criteria. SA2) Determine the extent to which real-world driver
sleep and mobility factors, collected over a continuous, 3-month baseline period, mediate the relationship
between extracted driver behavior and clinical features (SA1). SA3) Develop models (statistical and supervised
machine learning) that combine features of driver behavior (SA 1) and real-world sleep and mobility (SA2) to
detect clinical feature severity of MCI and AD and predict disease progression. To address these aims, our
team of experts-in medicine, AD, driving in aging and disease, cognitive neuroscience, transportation
engineering, machine learning, computer vision, and longitudinal biostatistics--will apply our approach to
drivers with a broader range of impairments across the aging to AD spectrum. A total of 180 drivers, ages 65-
90 years, who have ACS (N=40), MCI (N=80), or are normally aging (N=60) based on NIA-AA clinical criteria
will be studied across a 3-month baseline period of real-world naturalistic driver behavior, sleep, and mobility
monitoring. Two longitudinal assessments, each 1 year apart, will comprehensively assess each driver's risk
for and severity of functional decline. By extracting "digital fingerprints" of aberrant driver behavior in drivers al
risk for AD, this project complements seismic advances in biologic diagnosis of preclinical AD and advances
NIH priorities lo improve older driver safely, mobility, quality of life...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10161702
- **Project number:** 5R01AG017177-16
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA MEDICAL CENTER
- **Principal Investigator:** Matthew Rizzo
- **Activity code:** R01 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2021
- **Award amount:** $1,039,678
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 1999-09-01 → 2025-02-28

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10161702

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10161702, Monitoring real-world driver behavior for classification and early prediction of Alzheimer’s disease (5R01AG017177-16). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-22 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10161702. Licensed CC0.

---

*[NIH grants dataset](/datasets/nih-grants) · CC0 1.0*
