# The Health Consequences of Urban Scaling

> **NIH NIH DP5** · DREXEL UNIVERSITY · 2020 · $377,709

## Abstract

PROJECT SUMMARY
The COVID-19 pandemic has killed more than 100,000 people in the US, where very wide inequities in COVID-
19 outcomes have been reported for racial/ethnic minorities, including Hispanics. Hispanics suffer from specific
social vulnerabilities that lead to increased risk of infection, and increased prevalence specific risk factors that
lead to increased risk of severe illness. However, the number of confirmed cases in Hispanics may be severely
underestimated due to differential coverage of testing by area and population group. Moreover, most preliminary
measures of inequities in mortality have ignored the role of the different age structure of racial/ethnic groups.
Creating consistent estimates of racial/ethnic inequities in COVID-19 outcomes is therefore key to exploring
trends and predictors of these inequities, as a first step to improve the targeting of future interventions.
Concurrently, several non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) have been deployed to control the pandemic, The
capacity of racial/ethnic minorities to adhere to or benefit from (NPI) has been limited by several structural
barriers, including deficient social safety nets, a lower possibility of teleworking and a higher likelihood of working
in essential occupations. Overall, these structural constraints make isolation more challenging and increase the
likelihood of exposure to infection even in areas with social distancing. Continued viral transmission in specific
population subgroups makes the control of the pandemic more challenging for the entire population, and the
emergence of future waves more likely. In summary, Hispanics are one of the racial/ethnic groups most impacted
by the pandemic and, concurrently, one of the groups least able to benefit from NPI. For the current and future
waves of the pandemic, it is imperative to reduce the risk of infection across the population to reduce community
transmission; therefore. Therefore, understanding where and why health inequities are wider and whether NPI
work across different groups is key to preventing future waves by reducing overall levels community
transmission. We propose to systematically examine trends and predictors of heterogeneities of health inequities
in COVID-19 outcomes between Hispanics and non-Hispanic whites (NHW), and between the neighborhoods
where they predominantly live, across and within US cities, and the potential unequal effect of NPI in Hispanics
vs NHW. We will leverage data on COVID-19 outcomes by race/ethnicity and neighborhood from the 30 largest
cities of the US, corrected for imperfect testing quality and coverage; (2) social inequality measures; and (3) a
diverse set of compilations of state-, county- and city-level policies. By using a heterogeneous sample of cities,
we will uncover inequities and predictors of these inequities that will allow for more specific targeting of
interventions that may prove key in continuing to control current waves of the pandemic and to prevent f...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10199173
- **Project number:** 3DP5OD026429-03S1
- **Recipient organization:** DREXEL UNIVERSITY
- **Principal Investigator:** Usama Bilal
- **Activity code:** DP5 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2020
- **Award amount:** $377,709
- **Award type:** 3
- **Project period:** 2020-09-01 → 2022-08-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10199173

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10199173, The Health Consequences of Urban Scaling (3DP5OD026429-03S1). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-24 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10199173. Licensed CC0.

---

*[NIH grants dataset](/datasets/nih-grants) · CC0 1.0*
