# Project 01 - Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomization using imaging and molecular biomarkers in I-SPY 2 non-responders

> **NIH NIH P01** · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · 2021 · $189,547

## Abstract

PROJECT 1 SUMMARY
Women with aggressive breast cancer who achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) to preoperative
(“neoadjuvant”) therapy have excellent outcomes, despite presentation with stage II or III disease. In contrast,
women with substantial residual cancer burden (“RCB 2/3”) after exposure to chemotherapy have poor
outcomes, with event free survival below 60% at 3-5 years. Numerous studies and an FDA meta-analysis
confirm the strong prognostic effect of pCR as a surrogate for long-term survival. The overarching goal of
Project 1 is to exploit the pCR or RCB0 and RCB 2/3 surrogate to allow the successful I-SPY2 trial to evolve and
test a new treatment paradigm where there are more opportunities for patients to reach a pCR. The I- SPY 2
TRIAL is already an innovative, adaptive clinical trial framework designed to accelerate new drug development
tied to biomarkers of treatment response. To date, over 1000 patients (250 per year) have been randomized to
one of 12 investigational treatment arms, 5 of which have successfully graduated from the trial. But we have
observed that many women still fail to reach pCR, while others have excellent early response to therapy, and
likely could be spared additional toxicity. We hypothesize that by utilizing an MRI-based tool to assess residual
cancer burden (called the “Integrated RCB, or iRCB) midway through the course of neoadjuvant therapy, we will
be able to effectively redirect treatment in those with either exceptional or poor response sparing the former (in
whom iRCB predicts early pCR) additional toxic therapy by allowing them to go to surgery sooner, while
providing the latter (in whom iRCB predicts RCB 2/3) with alternative novel, “personalized” therapies based
upon their own tumor biology, in effect offering a `second chance' at achieving pCR. To optimize response, we
will leverage insights into the mechanisms and markers of treatment resistance emerging from the I-SPY2
TRIAL, We have selected a Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trial (SMART) model that permits us
to incorporate these innovations within the I-SPY framework, ultimately enabling `serial' treatment modifications
for women who continue to exhibit poor response. Project 1 will leverage knowledge and tools generated across
all projects and cores: refinement of iRCB as the `trigger' for treatment re-direction (Project 2); an enhanced
library of potential subsequent agents/combinations and probability of response based on the presence of tumor
biomarkers, both known and newly identified (Projects 3, 4); and a clinical decision tool to assign substitute
therapy based on the presence of multiple biomarkers of response. The end result will be the evolution of I-SPY
2 into I-SPY 2+.Our Admin core will oversee regulatory requirements as per our discussions with the FDA. Our
Bioinformatics Core has leading expertise on the design of SMART and adaptive trials. This novel and
innovative approach will evaluate both pathway and indiv...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10249154
- **Project number:** 5P01CA210961-05
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO
- **Principal Investigator:** ANGELA DEMICHELE
- **Activity code:** P01 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2021
- **Award amount:** $189,547
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2017-09-08 → 2023-06-30

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10249154

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10249154, Project 01 - Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomization using imaging and molecular biomarkers in I-SPY 2 non-responders (5P01CA210961-05). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-22 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10249154. Licensed CC0.

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