# A Nationwide Case-Control Study of Firearm Violence Prevention Tactics and Policies in K-12 Schools

> **NIH NIH R01** · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · 2021 · $1,961,579

## Abstract

Project Summary/Abstract
Firearm violence in K-12 schools is a persistent public health threat in the US. The negative impact of these
tragedies on children and school staff is significant. School-wide efforts (e.g. metal detectors, active shooter
drills, armed school personnel, and two dozen others) to improve safety and assuage fears are being widely
implemented in public K-12 schools across the US. Yet, the effectiveness of most of these strategies at
deterring school shootings has never been scientifically tested. Moreover, school districts may differentially use
these strategies based on factors unrelated to school safety, including as a means to discipline students.
These extraordinary gaps in evidence are particularly significant, as the U.S. K-12 public school system
currently serves an estimated 51 million children. The proposed research team has conducted substantial pilot
and preliminary research demonstrating the feasibility of the larger study proposed here. Its broad objective is
to conduct the first nationwide study of specific school safety tactics and policies and their potential impact on
school shootings and student disciplinary actions across K-12 public schools in the U.S. Given this, three
specific aims will be completed: (1) to determine if the total number and specific types of safety tactics and
policies are associated with the occurrence of intentional shootings in K-12 public schools; (2) to determine if
the total number and specific types of safety tactics and policies are associated with suspension and
expulsions in K-12 public schools; and (3) to identify if urban/non-urban, economic, and racial disparities prior
to and following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic exist in effect modification analyses of the relationships
between implementation of safety tactics and policies, suspensions and expulsions, and intentional shootings
in K-12 public schools. This will be accomplished through a nationally representative, population-based, case-
control study comparing hundreds of case schools that have experienced a school shooting and randomly
selected control schools that have not experienced such an event using epidemiological incidence density
sampling over a nine-year period (n = 658). Case data will be ascertained primarily via the FEMA-funded Naval
Postgraduate School K–12 School Shooting database. Additional databases that record and publicly report
school shooting incidents will be linked and harmonized. One control school will be randomly selected from a
national database of public K–12 schools at the National Center for Education Statistics and matched to each
case school based on state, urban/nonurban, and elementary/middle/high school status. Publicly accessible
school safety plans and multiple publicly available secondary sources of data will be used to determine the
safety strategies in place at both case and control schools during the school year before each case school’s
shooting event. These data will be l...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10399766
- **Project number:** 1R01HD108027-01
- **Recipient organization:** COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES
- **Principal Investigator:** CHARLES C. BRANAS
- **Activity code:** R01 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2021
- **Award amount:** $1,961,579
- **Award type:** 1
- **Project period:** 2021-09-17 → 2025-08-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10399766

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10399766, A Nationwide Case-Control Study of Firearm Violence Prevention Tactics and Policies in K-12 Schools (1R01HD108027-01). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-23 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10399766. Licensed CC0.

---

*[NIH grants dataset](/datasets/nih-grants) · CC0 1.0*
