Using big data to develop universal and selective suicide prevention strategies

NIH RePORTER · VA · IK2 · · view on reporter.nih.gov ↗

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Suicide confers a massive burden to individuals and society, accounting for nearly 20 Veteran deaths every day. After controlling for age, Veterans’ suicide risk is 22% higher than US adult civilians. In response, the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) has made suicide prevention its first priority. The VA’s suicide prevention framework prioritizes patients at the highest risk for suicide, including those who previously attempted suicide, were recently released from inpatient mental health treatment, or use opioids. Although this strategy has led to improvements for high-risk patients, the majority of patients that die by suicide are not included in this group. Indeed, less than 3% of recent VA suicide deaths were classified as high-risk by the leading prediction metric. This proposal specifically focuses on this “non-high-risk” majority, i.e., those who died by suicide, but whose risk was not detected by existing prediction mechanisms. This proposal leverages big data to better identify, track, and treat this critical population. It has the potential to have a large impact on Veteran health, broadening the reach of effective suicide prevention services. OBJECTIVES: The long-term goal is for the candidate, Dr. Maxwell Levis, to become an independent clinical researcher focused on developing, testing, and improving suicide prevention resources. His short-term goals are to: 1) acquire skills in population-based approaches to suicide prediction and prevention, 2) improve machine learning and natural language processing ability, and 3) gain experience adapting suicide prevention resources. His research objectives align closely with these goals. Dr. Levis’ proposal’s central hypothesis is that, through leveraging big data, he can better understand non-high-risk suicide decedents, and, in turn, develop targeted suicide prediction and prevention mechanisms. In the award’s last two years, Dr. Levis will submit a VA Merit Award proposal on leveraging psychotherapy to decrease suicide risk in this population. METHODS: The VA’s suicide prevention framework relies on universal strategies to reach all patients (low- risk), selective strategies to reach some patients (moderate-risk), and indicated strategies to reach the relatively few patients with symptoms associated with suicide (high-risk). While strides have been made for indicated strategies, comparable achievements have not been made for universal and selective strategies. Using Corporate Data Warehouse data, Dr. Levis will develop a dataset of recent (2017–2018; n ≈ 4000) non- high-risk suicide decedents (cases) and characterize this sample’s demographics, service and mental health usage, and risk and treatment factors. He will then develop a suicide risk-matched (1:[10]) sample of VA patients that did not die (controls), but shared similar risk, services, demographics, location, and treatment intervals. Dr. Levis will then leverage cases’ and controls’ structured and unstructured elect...

Key facts

NIH application ID
10803623
Project number
1IK2CX002630-01A1
Recipient
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION VA MEDICAL CENTER
Principal Investigator
Maxwell Eli Joshua Levis
Activity code
IK2
Funding institute
VA
Fiscal year
2024
Award amount
Award type
1
Project period
2024-07-01 → 2029-06-30