# Hierarchical statistical modeling and causal inference approaches to elucidate exposure pathways underlying health disparities

> **NIH NIH P50** · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · 2024 · $162,160

## Abstract

Summary
RP3 Hierarchical statistical modeling and causal inference approaches to elucidate exposure
pathways underlying health disparities
The health disparity between the Native American population and the US general population arises from the
complex interplay between multiple socio-demographic, behavior, lifestyle and genetic susceptibility factors.
Environmental contaminants are increasingly acknowledged to play an important part in explaining health
disparity through their combined or interaction effects with other factors. Proximities of Native American
communities to abandoned uranium mines (AUM) have been of particular health concern. These chronic
exposures to AUM waste related metal mixtures pose higher risk for developing chronic and fatal diseases
including hypertension, diabetes, kidney disease, and types of cancer in Native American populations
compared to the US population. The hypothesis of this project is that the three Native American tribal
communities included in this study (Navajo Nation, Crow, and Cheyenne River Sioux) encounter great risk of
exposures to environmental hazards (mine waste related metal mixture exposures, unregulated water
resources, and illegal dumping, etc.). These hazardous exposures along with socioeconomic status,
psychosocial stress, behavior/lifestyle factors influence multiple biological pathways to produce health
disparities in Native American communities. The complex set of exposure variables including dietary nutrients,
physical activity, infectious agents, air pollutants and metal exposures at both the individual and community
levels are acknowledged as contributors to health disparities, however, their relative contributions of the
potential causal factors have not been well studied. The objective of this project is to employ data-driven and
modeling approaches to understand the relative contribution of different environmental, behavior, and
socioeconomic determinants of the health disparities between the native population and the US national
population. We will use innovative modeling approaches such as decomposition analyses and structural
causal models to estimate the effects of risk factors at the individual and community level on the health
disparities. In Aim 1, we will collect data and summarize the frequency distributions for major chronic and fatal
diseases in the Native American communities. In Aim 2, we will employ novel hierarchical modeling
approaches to estimate the relative contribution of different risk factors at the individual level and community
level to the health disparities. In Aim 3, we will implement frontier causal pathway analyses to illustrate the
intermediate mechanisms explaining the health disparity. Aim 4 is to examine the complex correlation structure
among multi-dimensional exposures, intermediate biological responses, and health endpoints using frontier
statistical approaches. We expect this project will identify major contributing factors that explain a large
pr...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10808167
- **Project number:** 5P50MD015706-10
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR
- **Principal Investigator:** Li Luo
- **Activity code:** P50 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2024
- **Award amount:** $162,160
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2015-08-01 → 2026-09-30

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10808167

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10808167, Hierarchical statistical modeling and causal inference approaches to elucidate exposure pathways underlying health disparities (5P50MD015706-10). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-22 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10808167. Licensed CC0.

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