# Investigating Nursing Home Emergency Preparedness for Environmental and Climatological Determinants of Resident Health

> **NIH NIH R03** · YALE UNIVERSITY · 2024 · $335,000

## Abstract

PROJECT SUMMARY
The medical and functional needs of nursing home residents impose a differential risk of morbidity and
mortality due to severe weather events, including hurricanes. A potential explanation for the increases
observed in adverse resident outcomes after hurricane exposure is inadequate compliance by nursing home
facilities to federal emergency preparedness standards; however, prior research has not rigorously evaluated
this association. Furthermore, nursing home characteristics, such as private versus not-for-profit or public
ownership, are known to affect resident outcomes, but the impact of ownership on emergency preparedness
and post-disaster outcomes is unknown. To address these knowledge gaps, we propose a retrospective cohort
study using data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Institute (NOAA) to evaluate facility-level and resident outcomes as a function of exposure to
Hurricane Michael (2018) and administrative emergency preparedness. Within our analytic sample of 1,423
nursing homes, we have classified 317 nursing homes as exposed to Hurricane Michael. Evaluating the post-
disaster outcomes of 30-day all-cause mortality (primary), 30-day hospitalization, and 120-day functional
decline, we will use predictive modeling to identify which of the 250 federal emergency preparedness
deficiencies identified in CMS Life Safety Code inspections are most predictive of the facility-level rate of
adverse post-disaster outcomes (Aim 1). We hypothesize that deficiencies pertaining to evacuation and
sheltering preparedness will be included within this subset of “critical deficiencies.” In Aims 2 and 3, we will
construct a dichotomous measure of noncompliance from the subset of critical deficiencies identified in Aim 1
(i.e., a nursing home with ≥1 critical deficiencies will be classified as noncompliant). In Aim 2, we will evaluate
whether the impact of hurricane exposure on the resident-level likelihood of adverse post-disaster outcomes is
modified by noncompliance. We hypothesize that noncompliance will confer an increased risk of adverse post-
disaster resident outcomes. Lastly, we will assess whether private nursing home ownership is associated with
the resident-level likelihood of adverse post-disaster outcomes, and whether this potential association is
mediated by noncompliance (Aim 3). We hypothesize that residents from privately owned nursing homes will
have worse post-disaster outcomes, and that these associations will be mediated by noncompliance. Our
integration of geospatial data with administrative health and compliance data positions us to provide the first
empirical assessment of the relative importance of individual federal emergency preparedness standards and
the mechanisms by which they affect nursing home resident outcomes. The proposed research responds to
federal priorities regarding the need to improve emergency preparedness for an aging population, and will
i...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10975497
- **Project number:** 1R03AG088893-01
- **Recipient organization:** YALE UNIVERSITY
- **Principal Investigator:** Natalia Festa
- **Activity code:** R03 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2024
- **Award amount:** $335,000
- **Award type:** 1
- **Project period:** 2024-09-23 → 2026-08-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10975497

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10975497, Investigating Nursing Home Emergency Preparedness for Environmental and Climatological Determinants of Resident Health (1R03AG088893-01). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-23 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10975497. Licensed CC0.

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