# Personalized Computational Modeling for Predicting Hemodynamics in Borderline Left Ventricles

> **NIH NIH R21** · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · 2024 · $217,061

## Abstract

The decision to perform a biventricular repair (BiVR) or single ventricle palliation (SVP) in patients born with a 
borderline left ventricle (BLV) remains challenging and subjective. BLV patients are neonates born with an 
underdeveloped left ventricle but not severe enough to be classified as hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS). 
A BiVR is attractive because it restores two functioning ventricles, though it is technically challenging to perform 
on neonates. In contrast, SVP involves multiple staged open-heart procedures resulting in alternative physiology 
with a single pumping chamber. HLHS patients undergoing SVP have high interstage mortality and poor longterm outcomes, with only 70% reaching adulthood. Current clinical guidelines are primarily governed by 
morphological measurements and status quo hemodynamic data that have mixed correlations with operative 
outcomes. Alternative palliative procedures were developed for specific BLV variants that delay the decisionmaking between BiVR and SVP and allow the left heart structures to grow before further interventions, such as
the hybrid approach and staged left ventricular rehabilitation (SLVR). However, about two-thirds of these patients 
do not respond favorably to these palliative procedures, and it is unclear if a BiVR is feasible in these patients
even at a later stage. There is an unmet clinical need to identify the BLV patients favorable for BiVR and perform 
risk stratification based on predicted postoperative outcomes. We aim to address this critical need by applying 
personalized computational modeling to predict and compare the immediate postoperative outcomes of virtual 
BiVR and Norwood and choose a procedure that yields the most favorable hemodynamics. Our modeling 
framework relies on a closed-loop lumped parameter network (LPN) that is elegant and enables prediction in a 
clinically adoptable timeframe for neonates. We demonstrated the model’s utility in a small patient cohort 
selected retrospectively and found that our model predictions support the clinical choice of surgery. Here, we 
aim to enhance the robustness of the modeling pipeline by (a) using the patients’ ultrasound data as input to the 
model, (b) automatically estimating the personalized LPN model parameters using a robust statistical framework, 
(c) performing uncertainty quantification (UQ) to measure confidence intervals on the predicted hemodynamic 
variables, and (d) demonstrating statistical significance on a larger cohort. We will apply our computational 
framework to assess the viability of performing a BiVR after initial hybrid palliation or SLVR. In Aim 1, we will 
develop a robust automatic tuning framework to estimate the LPN model parameters matching a BLV patient’s 
preoperative echo data. In Aim 2, we will perform UQ analysis to estimate the confidence in the predicted 
postoperative hemodynamics. In Aim 3, we will evaluate the feasibility of performing a BiVR after an initial 
palliative proc...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 10989372
- **Project number:** 1R21LM014481-01A1
- **Recipient organization:** COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE
- **Principal Investigator:** David Kalfa
- **Activity code:** R21 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2024
- **Award amount:** $217,061
- **Award type:** 1
- **Project period:** 2024-08-07 → 2026-07-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10989372

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 10989372, Personalized Computational Modeling for Predicting Hemodynamics in Borderline Left Ventricles (1R21LM014481-01A1). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-06-12 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/10989372. Licensed CC0.

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