# Tracking drug-resistant tuberculosis patients through time in South Africa

> **NIH NIH R03** · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · 2020 · $82,500

## Abstract

PROJECT SUMMARY
Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of infectious disease deaths globally. With TB incidence currently
decreasing by 1.9% annually, achieving the World Health Organization's ENDTB goal of TB elimination by
2050 will require a substantial reworking of our TB control approach. Drug-resistant TB (DR-TB) data are
particularly lacking in spatial granularity as surveillance for DR-TB can be especially resource intensive.
Previous elimination strategies for other diseases have only been successful once spatial variation in disease
incidence was identified and then locally relevant interventions implemented. TB and DR-TB elimination
strategies require improved real-time spatial surveillance tools that incorporate individual movement over time.
South Africa is an ideal setting for our work with both the second highest TB incidence globally and a central
National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) database of routinely-collected laboratory results. We propose to
develop a framework to track rifampicin-resistant (RR) TB patients in time and space, using data from the
Western Cape Province. We will focus on RR-TB patients, in this proof of principle study, due to their
increased monitoring during treatment. We hypothesize that NHLS data can be used to identify facility
transfers of RR-TB patients during treatment and facilities that have high rates of patients lost from care. In aim
1 we will use probabilistic record linkage to create unique patient identifiers in the NHLS data for all RR-TB
patients, allowing us to link an individual's test results and track those confirmed cases spatially and
temporally. In aim 2 we will quantify the movement patterns of RR-TB patients during treatment, mapping
these movements to identify common travel patterns. In aim 3 we will identify locations with high attrition of
RR-TB patients, allowing for the design of interventions to target those locations and improve retention in care.
This contribution is significant because it will develop a framework to use currently existing, routinely-collected
data to monitor RR-TB patients during treatment spatially and temporally, enabling local public health
professionals to develop locally appropriate interventions to improve retention and accelerating TB elimination.
The proposed work is innovative because it will capture longitudinal RR-TB data, allowing us to track retention
in care and patient movements. Thus, it will provide a method to monitor, in near-real time, RR-TB patients
during treatment. This will allow policy makers to design locally-relevant interventions targeting high attrition
areas and highly mobile populations, preventing further spread and ultimately reducing disease and mortality
due to RR-TB. By using routinely collected laboratory data, our model adds minimal financial costs, can be
implemented prospectively, and can be adapted for similar TB high-burden, middle-income settings. These
results will lay the groundwork for nationwide roll-out an...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 9856985
- **Project number:** 5R03AI144335-02
- **Recipient organization:** BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS
- **Principal Investigator:** Helen E. Jenkins
- **Activity code:** R03 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2020
- **Award amount:** $82,500
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2019-02-01 → 2022-01-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/9856985

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 9856985, Tracking drug-resistant tuberculosis patients through time in South Africa (5R03AI144335-02). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-22 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/9856985. Licensed CC0.

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