# Monitoring the Future: Drug Use and Lifestyles of American Youth

> **NIH NIH R01** · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · 2020 · $5,132,458

## Abstract

This application seeks a five-year continuation of the Monitoring the Future (MTF) study, an ongoing
epidemiological and etiological research and reporting project begun in 1975. In addition to being a basic
research study, MTF has become one of the nation's most relied upon sources of information on emerging trends
in illicit drug, alcohol, and tobacco use among American adolescents, college students, and young and middle-
aged adults. Nationally representative samples of 8th-, 10th-, and 12th-grade students (about 42,000 students in
415 schools per year) will be surveyed annually from 2017/18 to 2021/22. A companion panel application seeks
continuation of the mail follow-up surveys of both past and future high school graduates at modal ages 19–30,
35, 40, 45, 50, 55, and, new to this cycle, age 60.
 The study's cohort-sequential longitudinal design permits the measurement and differentiation of three
types of change—age (developmental), period (historical), and cohort. Each has different determinants, and MTF
finds all three types of change occur for most drugs. Factors that may explain historical trends and cohort
differences also are monitored. MTF is designed to document the developmental history and consequences of
drug use and related attitudes from adolescence through middle adulthood, and to determine the individual and
contextual characteristics and social role transitions that contribute to change and stability in both use and
related attitudes. This work will be extended to new years, cohorts, and ages under this main application and the
companion follow-up application. The study will examine the importance of many other hypothesized
psychological, behavioral, and social determinants of drug use (including attitudes and beliefs, counter-
advertising, role-modeling, and access), as well as a range of potential consequences (including physical and
psychological health, status attainment, role performance, and drug abuse and dependence). Impacts of some
policy changes will be evaluated, including state-level legalization of marijuana for recreational use. In this cycle
the investigators will implement a remote data portal to allow access to MTF data by external academic
researchers.
 The study's very broad measurement covers (a) initiation, use, and cessation for over 50 categories and
sub-categories of licit and illicit drugs, including alcohol and tobacco; (b) attitudes and beliefs about many of
them, as well as perceived availability, peer norms, and norms among role model groups; (c) other behaviors and
individual characteristics (delinquency, school performance, plans, aspirations, etc.); and (d) aspects of key
social environments (home, work, school) and social role statuses, experiences, and transitions. Results will
continue to elucidate drug use from adolescence through adulthood—including the introduction of new drugs—
with major implications for policy, research, treatment, and prevention agendas.

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 9879718
- **Project number:** 5R01DA001411-46
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR
- **Principal Investigator:** Richard A Miech
- **Activity code:** R01 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2020
- **Award amount:** $5,132,458
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 1975-06-28 → 2022-03-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/9879718

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 9879718, Monitoring the Future: Drug Use and Lifestyles of American Youth (5R01DA001411-46). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-23 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/9879718. Licensed CC0.

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