# Causes of Geographic Divergence in American Mortality Between 1990 and 2015: Health Behaviors, Health Care Access and Migration

> **NIH NIH R01** · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · 2020 · $375,080

## Abstract

PROJECT SUMMARY/ABSTRACT
This project aims to identify factors responsible for levels and trends in geographic inequalities in mortality
across the urban-rural continuum and regions of the United States. Urbanicity of one’s place of residence is
itself an important stratifying dimension of socioeconomic status (SES) and access to health care services, and
it has been largely overlooked in existing studies of SES gradients in life expectancy. Large central
metropolitan areas and their suburbs, which experienced remarkable improvements in life expectancy between
1990 and 2015, were the only areas to have experienced life expectancy gains between 2010 and 2015. By
contrast, smaller metros and non-metros experienced much slower improvements between 1990 and 2010,
and actually experienced life expectancy declines between 2010 and 2015. Specific mechanisms hypothesized
to contribute to urban-rural mortality inequalities include: (1) health behaviors and behavioral risk factors, (2)
health care access and quality, and (3) domestic and international migration. To identify the contribution of
each of these three mechanisms to the magnitudes of and widening in these inequalities between 1990 and
2015, we use three unique, restricted-use datasets (the National Health Interview Survey, the National
Longitudinal Mortality Study, and the Mortality Disparities in American Communities database) in conjunction
with vital statistics and several area-level datasets covering a wide array of contextual factors. These
restricted-use datasets contain detailed information on cause of death, geography, and migration, and they
have not been used in prior studies to identify mortality differences or mechanisms driving these differences
across the urban-rural continuum. We will employ multiple methodological approaches including standard
demographic methods, cause-deleted life tables, indirect estimation methods for quantifying smoking-
attributable mortality, and discrete-time hazard models applied to both aggregate and individual-level data. Our
rigorous and thorough assessment of the contribution of behavioral risk factors to mortality inequalities across
the urban-rural continuum and regions improves on prior studies by focusing on multiple behaviors and causes
of death (versus a single behavior or underlying cause), employing multiple methods, and accounting for the
life course effects of behaviors like smoking on mortality. Migration’s impacts on mortality inequalities have
received little attention to date. However, given the increased volume of migration to the United States,
selective migration into different regions and metro/non-metro areas within the county, and the health
advantages of migrants, migration is likely to play an important role in widening geographic inequalities in life
expectancy. This project is the first study to quantify the impact of both international and domestic migration on
mortality differentials within the United States. We will also ex...

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 9895610
- **Project number:** 5R01AG060115-03
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA
- **Principal Investigator:** IRMA T. ELO
- **Activity code:** R01 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2020
- **Award amount:** $375,080
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2018-08-15 → 2023-03-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/9895610

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 9895610, Causes of Geographic Divergence in American Mortality Between 1990 and 2015: Health Behaviors, Health Care Access and Migration (5R01AG060115-03). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-24 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/9895610. Licensed CC0.

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