Project Summary To predict the three-dimensional structures of a protein solely from its primary sequence remains a grand and elusive challenge in modern computational biology. Molecular dynamics simulation has a high promise for predicting protein structures and folding pathways at molecular details. Recent advances in im- proved computer hardware and enhanced sampling methods have made it possible to ab initio fold proteins of larger size. The highlight of the improved computer hardware is Anton, a massively parallel special-purpose supercomputer designed by D.E. Shaw Research. Anton successfully folded the D14A fast-folding mutant of the 80-residue l-repressor, which was achieved at 49 microseconds (μs) in 643μs-long simulations. On the other hand, the latest advance in enhanced sampling methods is represented by the single-copy continuous simulated tempering (CST) method developed by the PI’s group. The group of Dr. Klaus Schulten incorpo- rated the CST method into the NAMD package, which repeatedly folded the 80-residue l-repressor HG mutant from a fully extended conformation to the native state at 0.5 and 4μs in 10μs-long simulations with Ca root- mean-square deviations (Ca-RMSD) of 1.7 Å on a conventional computing platform. In marked contrast, a complete folding of the same protein was NOT observed using Anton at multiple temperatures even in 100μs- long simulations. This performance of CST in folding simulation has never been matched by any other sam- pling method for similar purposes on conventional computing platforms. Most recently, to further enhance sampling efficiencies in studying larger systems, the PI has developed a more powerful parallel CST (PCST) method. Initial ab initio folding simulation of trp-cage clearly demonstrated that the efficiency of PCST in facili- tating multiple folding and unfolding events was even drastically superior to that of CST. The PCST method serves as a solid foundation for the proposed research in three Specific Aims: 1). Development of the PCST method for enhanced sampling; 2). Design of advanced temperature-dependent restraint schemes for targeted sampling; 3). Development of advanced blind model selection methods for efficient target se- lection. Our in-depth preliminary studies demonstrate that these new methods clearly outperformed all exist- ing methods and suggest a high promise of success for the proposed research. Ultimately, these powerful new algorithms will provide urgently-needed tools for protein simulations, and offer an effective solution for structural refinement in experimental X-ray crystallography and electron cryo-microscopy.