# Predicting Patient Outcome in Multiple Sclerosis using a Quantitative Radiomic Approach

> **NIH NIH R03** · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · 2020 · $81,671

## Abstract

Project Summary:
Multiple sclerosis (MS), a leading cause of disability in young and middle-aged adults, is a highly
heterogeneous disease, with wide variations in clinical presentation, disease course and response to
treatment. In order to personalize care in MS, it is important to harness its clinical heterogeneity and
the diversity of its underlying pathology, and to develop models able to predict individual behavior of
patients. Brain magnetic resonance images (MRI), acquired routinely in MS patients, contain
information that reflects underlying pathophysiology, which may be brought into light through
quantitative analyses. Radiomics, a technique well developed in oncology, converts routine medical
images into mineable high-dimensional data that can be modeled to support clinical decision-making.
The central hypothesis of the proposed project is that radiomic analysis, combined with careful
feature selection and accurate modeling, can predict patient outcome and response to therapy using
standard-of-care MRI in MS. Our hypothesis will be tested by leveraging existing 3-year imaging and
clinical data from the CombiRx trial, a multi-center, phase-III investigation of combination therapy in
1008 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients.
We will first determine the potential for non-invasive radiomic biomarkers of disease severity in
RRMS. Towards this goal, we will extract radiomic features of MS lesions from FLAIR, pre and
postcontrast T1-weighted MR images using an open-source radiomic pipeline. Through appropriate
feature selection, we will identify an independent radiomic feature set able to characterize individual
phenotype on MRI in a selection cohort. We will then evaluate the selected features cross-sectionally
to determine their efficacy in characterizing disease severity, leveraging training and validation
subsets. The performance of our radiomic approach will be compared to traditional models using
clinical and standard imaging markers such as lesion volume.
In the second stage of this proposal, we will explore the performance of radiomic-based models to
predict long-term outcome and treatment response in MS. We will build models to predict disease
activity free status (DAFS) at 3 years using selected baseline radiomic features, and identify
treatment response phenotypes. We will investigate and compare the performance of various
machine-learning models in an unbiased manner. Finally, we will assess the effect of each
therapeutic regimen on radiomic features by comparing on-treatment changes across treatment arms.
This may provide evidence for treatment-specific monitoring parameters.

## Key facts

- **NIH application ID:** 9979980
- **Project number:** 5R03NS109715-02
- **Recipient organization:** UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN
- **Principal Investigator:** Leorah Aude Freeman
- **Activity code:** R03 (R01, R21, SBIR, etc.)
- **Funding institute:** NIH
- **Fiscal year:** 2020
- **Award amount:** $81,671
- **Award type:** 5
- **Project period:** 2019-08-01 → 2022-07-31

## Primary source

NIH RePORTER: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/9979980

## Citation

> US National Institutes of Health, RePORTER application 9979980, Predicting Patient Outcome in Multiple Sclerosis using a Quantitative Radiomic Approach (5R03NS109715-02). Retrieved via AI Analytics 2026-05-22 from https://api.ai-analytics.org/grant/nih/9979980. Licensed CC0.

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