Collaborative Research: NSF-SNSF: Tail-robust Analysis of High-dimensional Nonstationary Time Series

NSF Award Search · 01002526DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT · $175,000 · view on nsf.gov ↗

Abstract

High-dimensional time series data arise in many fields such as economics, epidemiology, neuroscience, and social science, where large numbers of measurements are collected over time. These data often exhibit complex patterns, including shifts in behavior and extreme values that violate classical statistical assumptions. This project addresses fundamental challenges in analyzing such time series, especially when they are not stationary and prone to abrupt structural changes. The research in this project aims to develop new methods that are robust to extreme events and better suited to the realities of modern data. By improving the ability to detect and interpret changes in large, evolving systems, this project may be used to support scientific discovery across disciplines. It also provides training opportunities for graduate students, helping build a more data-literate workforce. The project advances the frontiers of science and supports the development of innovative statistical tools that can enhance decision-making in dynamic environments. The research conducted within the scope of this project develops a new tail-robust statistical framework for the analysis of high-dimensional nonstationary time series. The project focuses on two interrelated goals: (1) to construct robust estimators of autocovariance structures that remain accurate in the presence of outliers and large deviations, and (2) to develop efficient procedures to detect and quantify structural changes over ti

Key facts

NSF award ID
2514399
Awardee
University of Georgia Research Foundation Inc (GA)
SAM.gov UEI
NMJHD63STRC5
PI
Yuan Ke
Primary program
01002526DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
All programs
International Partnerships, Machine Learning Theory, SWITZERLAND
Estimated total
$175,000
Funds obligated
$175,000
Transaction type
Standard Grant
Period
09/01/2025 → 08/31/2028