Factors and Processes Controlling the Duration of Concentric Eyewall Structure and the Associated Intensity Change of Tropical Cyclones

NSF Award Search · 01002526DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT · $577,875 · view on nsf.gov ↗

Abstract

The eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) in tropical cyclones consists of the formation, contraction and intensification of the outer eyewall and the weakening and dissipation of the inner eyewall. The ERC is critical for forecasting the impacts of tropical cyclones because it is usually accompanied by a short-term weakening of the tropical cyclone with an expansion of the wind field. This project will focus on the formation of the outer eyewall and the length of time that it takes to complete the cycle. The award will also provide training for a graduate student. This project will identify key factors and processes that control the duration of the ERC and the associated intensity change based on both diagnostics of idealized high-resolution numerical simulations and analysis of digitized satellite observations and tropical cyclone best-track data. The primary hypothesis guiding the work is that the timescale of the ERC is controlled primarily by the width of the moat between the primary and secondary eyewalls and the intensification and contraction rates of the outer eyewall. Four primary research tasks will be performed: 1) Examine how the structure and intensity of the initial tropical cyclone-like vortices affect the timescale of ERC and the associated intensity change in a given quiescent environment, 2) Examine how the timescale of ERC and the associated intensity change may vary with SST, environmental relative humidity, and background rotational rate, 3) Examine ho

Key facts

NSF award ID
2521424
Awardee
University of Hawaii (HI)
SAM.gov UEI
NSCKLFSSABF2
PI
Yuqing Wang
Primary program
01002526DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
All programs
EXP PROG TO STIM COMP RES
Estimated total
$577,875
Funds obligated
$577,875
Transaction type
Standard Grant
Period
08/15/2025 → 07/31/2028